Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.397502 1.739908 2.197263 2.879460 3.924393 5.572921 8.654441
2025-08-10 0.978545 1.339987 1.905076 2.944517 5.090338 10.376347 32.366034
2025-08-17 0.787555 1.146018 1.768908 3.109078 6.703002 21.464190 435.013528
2025-08-24 0.654468 0.989284 1.612322 3.108342 8.054149 43.305929 NaN
2025-08-31 0.553510 0.857039 1.447435 2.975324 8.893361 83.619684 NaN
2025-09-07 0.500570 0.797068 1.404933 3.131955 11.463520 401.408540 NaN
2025-09-14 0.450863 0.731901 1.329754 3.149114 13.666481 12117.870810 NaN
2025-09-21 0.405362 0.666450 1.235716 3.052133 15.087693 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.370591 0.616786 1.166617 3.006198 17.138605 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.357268 0.608531 1.196125 3.357454 26.653162 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.339291 0.587406 1.187103 3.555757 38.181403 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.317117 0.554020 1.137359 3.538821 46.599733 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.293106 0.514447 1.064686 3.379434 50.020676 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.278356 0.493968 1.042353 3.474808 71.082465 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.267690 0.481344 1.039994 3.688053 125.374938 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.253676 0.459328 1.005035 3.687630 177.962017 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.237955 0.431779 0.948439 3.517231 192.100490 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.230388 0.422667 0.947410 3.718109 465.914042 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.220487 0.406961 0.922566 3.740192 940.754729 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.209265 0.387099 0.881166 3.615596 1268.553875 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.199964 0.371171 0.850408 3.556746 2442.823702 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.198097 0.373205 0.879586 4.009453 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.193516 0.368029 0.883371 4.267723 NaN NaN NaN